Economy
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway sees dominance of the 'traditional drivers of growth' in the New Zealand economy coming to an end
30th Jan 25, 10:01am
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RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway sees dominance of the 'traditional drivers of growth' in the New Zealand economy coming to an end
Eyes on US Fed; US data starts to react to Trump distortions; Canada trims rate; Russia PPI inflation jumps; Aussie inflation sets up rate cut; UST 10yr at 4.55%; gold soft and oil firm; NZ$1 = 56.5 USc; TWI = 67.1
30th Jan 25, 7:19am
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Eyes on US Fed; US data starts to react to Trump distortions; Canada trims rate; Russia PPI inflation jumps; Aussie inflation sets up rate cut; UST 10yr at 4.55%; gold soft and oil firm; NZ$1 = 56.5 USc; TWI = 67.1
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; BNZ ends 5% TD rate, banking complaint scorecard update, mortgage interest paid swells, Aussie CPI modest, swaps & NZD hold, & more
29th Jan 25, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; BNZ ends 5% TD rate, banking complaint scorecard update, mortgage interest paid swells, Aussie CPI modest, swaps & NZD hold, & more
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the central bank will have to 'feel its way' as the OCR gets closer to its estimate of neutral and he doesn't see a return to 'ultra-low' rates seen during the early stages of the pandemic any time soon
29th Jan 25, 12:26pm
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RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the central bank will have to 'feel its way' as the OCR gets closer to its estimate of neutral and he doesn't see a return to 'ultra-low' rates seen during the early stages of the pandemic any time soon
US moves to remove all ethical guardrails; consumer mood sours; China travel strong; Aussie business sentiment still negative; UST 10yr at 4.56%; gold and oil firm; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI = 67.1
29th Jan 25, 7:19am
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US moves to remove all ethical guardrails; consumer mood sours; China travel strong; Aussie business sentiment still negative; UST 10yr at 4.56%; gold and oil firm; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI = 67.1
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; more retail rate cuts, job numbers turn up, tractor numbers turn down, R/E agent commissions solid, swaps stable, NZD eases, & more
28th Jan 25, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; more retail rate cuts, job numbers turn up, tractor numbers turn down, R/E agent commissions solid, swaps stable, NZD eases, & more
Another monthly rise in the number of filled jobs in December may indicate that New Zealand's rate of unemployment is close to peaking
28th Jan 25, 11:27am
11
Another monthly rise in the number of filled jobs in December may indicate that New Zealand's rate of unemployment is close to peaking
HSBC economists expect the Official Cash Rate to be down to 3% by the third quarter of this year and see the economy growing 1.8% in 2025 and 2.5% next year
28th Jan 25, 10:25am
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HSBC economists expect the Official Cash Rate to be down to 3% by the third quarter of this year and see the economy growing 1.8% in 2025 and 2.5% next year
China PMIs weaken, profits soft and tax take lower; US data positive ahead of Q4 GDP result; UST 10yr at 4.53%; equities, gold and oil all down; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI = 67.1; bitcoin drops
28th Jan 25, 7:19am
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China PMIs weaken, profits soft and tax take lower; US data positive ahead of Q4 GDP result; UST 10yr at 4.53%; equities, gold and oil all down; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI = 67.1; bitcoin drops
Claudio Bozzi looks at why the West is so concerned about China investing billions in ports around the world
27th Jan 25, 9:30am
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Claudio Bozzi looks at why the West is so concerned about China investing billions in ports around the world
PMIs everywhere mostly positive; Japan and Singapore moved policy rates; India expansion loses some steam; UST 10yr at 4.62%; gold down and oil on hold; NZ$1 = 57.1 USc; TWI = 67.4
27th Jan 25, 7:19am
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PMIs everywhere mostly positive; Japan and Singapore moved policy rates; India expansion loses some steam; UST 10yr at 4.62%; gold down and oil on hold; NZ$1 = 57.1 USc; TWI = 67.4
The Coalition Government promises an economic growth plan within weeks, but can it deliver results?
26th Jan 25, 6:01am
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The Coalition Government promises an economic growth plan within weeks, but can it deliver results?
US PMIs positive but inflation lurks; Japan raises rates; Singapore loosens; India tests growth wobbles; Australia PMI contracts less; UST 10yr at 4.62%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 57.2 USc; TWI = 67.4
25th Jan 25, 8:55am
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US PMIs positive but inflation lurks; Japan raises rates; Singapore loosens; India tests growth wobbles; Australia PMI contracts less; UST 10yr at 4.62%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 57.2 USc; TWI = 67.4
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more home loan & TD rate cuts, rents softer, credit card use lower, but no credit card stress obvious, Turnbull to Milford, swaps stable, NZD marginally firmer, & more
24th Jan 25, 4:00pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more home loan & TD rate cuts, rents softer, credit card use lower, but no credit card stress obvious, Turnbull to Milford, swaps stable, NZD marginally firmer, & more
Trump bluster sets new low tone, raises risks; eyes on expected Japanese rate hike; China bolsters equity demand; freight rates fall sharply; Turkey cuts rates hard again; UST 10yr at 4.65%; gold and oil down; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI = 67.2
24th Jan 25, 7:30am
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Trump bluster sets new low tone, raises risks; eyes on expected Japanese rate hike; China bolsters equity demand; freight rates fall sharply; Turkey cuts rates hard again; UST 10yr at 4.65%; gold and oil down; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI = 67.2
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Kiwi Bond rates cut, migration & tourism updates, successful NZGB tender, Crown a/cs show taxpayer stress, record high benefit levels, swaps stable NZD firmish, & more
23rd Jan 25, 3:58pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Kiwi Bond rates cut, migration & tourism updates, successful NZGB tender, Crown a/cs show taxpayer stress, record high benefit levels, swaps stable NZD firmish, & more
Record departures still being offset by migration gains with NZ population up 30k in November year
23rd Jan 25, 11:43am
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Record departures still being offset by migration gains with NZ population up 30k in November year
Economists say an uptick in headline inflation due to the weak dollar and rising oil prices shouldn’t discourage the RBNZ from cutting interest rates as core inflation is cooling
23rd Jan 25, 9:21am
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Economists say an uptick in headline inflation due to the weak dollar and rising oil prices shouldn’t discourage the RBNZ from cutting interest rates as core inflation is cooling
US retail indicators flash caution; ditto the CB LEI; Canada PPI rise soft; Korean sentiment improves; Aussie LEI improves; Aussie housing market does not; UST 10yr at 4.61%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI = 67.2
23rd Jan 25, 7:19am
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US retail indicators flash caution; ditto the CB LEI; Canada PPI rise soft; Korean sentiment improves; Aussie LEI improves; Aussie housing market does not; UST 10yr at 4.61%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI = 67.2
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; significant mortgage rate changes, dairy prices firm, real estate market quiet, inflation as expected, NZX50 little-changed, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more
22nd Jan 25, 4:00pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; significant mortgage rate changes, dairy prices firm, real estate market quiet, inflation as expected, NZX50 little-changed, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more
Consumer prices rose 2.2% in 2024 as high interest rates slowed economic activity and falling import costs eased inflation pressures in New Zealand
22nd Jan 25, 10:52am
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Consumer prices rose 2.2% in 2024 as high interest rates slowed economic activity and falling import costs eased inflation pressures in New Zealand
Dairy prices rise as China demand returns; Canada inflation contained; German sentiment positive but less so; China sets lower growth targets; UST 10yr at 4.58%; gold up and oil mixed; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI = 67.1
22nd Jan 25, 7:19am
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Dairy prices rise as China demand returns; Canada inflation contained; German sentiment positive but less so; China sets lower growth targets; UST 10yr at 4.58%; gold up and oil mixed; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI = 67.1
Bank for International Settlements paper sees significant contribution from businesses' price setting to inflation
21st Jan 25, 5:14pm
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Bank for International Settlements paper sees significant contribution from businesses' price setting to inflation
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; service sector shrinks too, end of year puff for retail, job ads weak, milk flows up, REINZ says 'tomorrow', swaps stable, NZD rises, & more
21st Jan 25, 4:00pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; service sector shrinks too, end of year puff for retail, job ads weak, milk flows up, REINZ says 'tomorrow', swaps stable, NZD rises, & more
[updated]
Activity in NZ's services sector contracted further in December, matching a more contractionary performance in the month from the manufacturing sector as well
21st Jan 25, 10:47am
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Activity in NZ's services sector contracted further in December, matching a more contractionary performance in the month from the manufacturing sector as well